| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Bologna | 38 | -11 | 46 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Empoli win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 35.65% | 23.94% | 40.41% |
| Both teams to score 61.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.25% | 40.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.86% | 63.14% |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% | 22.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.57% | 56.43% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.61% | 20.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.19% | 52.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 2-1 @ 8.09% 1-0 @ 6.87% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.36% Total : 35.65% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-1 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 4.6% 2-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 3.11% 1-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.95% Total : 40.41% |