Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Sant'Elia

Cagliari
1 - 3
Inter Milan

Lykogiannis (54')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Darmian (25'), Martinez (51', 84')
Darmian (37'), Calhanoglu (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

Last Six:

Last Game: Venezia 0-0 Cagliari
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Salernitana	38	-45	31
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30
19	Genoa	38	-33	28

Inter Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	AC Milan	38	38	86
2	Inter Milan	38	52	84
3	Napoli	38	43	79

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 73.54%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.78%) and 0-3 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Inter Milan
10.2% ( 1.35)	16.26% ( 1.02)	73.54% ( -2.36)

Both teams to score 49.64% (

1.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.24% (

-0.5)

37.76% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.99% (

-0.54)

60.01% (

0.54)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.46% (

2.43)

45.54% (

-2.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.64% (

1.85)

81.36% (

-1.85)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.15% (

-0.65)

8.85% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.69% (

-1.6)

30.32% (

1.6)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 10.2%

Inter Milan 73.53%

Draw 16.26%

Cagliari	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.15) Other @ 1.8% Total : 10.2%	1-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.46) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.34) Other @ 0.88% Total : 16.26%	0-2 @ 11.84% ( -0.46) 0-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 9.58% ( -0.67) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 7.53% ( -0) 0-4 @ 5.8% ( -0.61) 1-4 @ 4.57% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.19) 0-5 @ 2.81% ( -0.4) 1-5 @ 2.21% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.06) 0-6 @ 1.14% ( -0.2) Other @ 4.19% Total : 73.53%