Premier League Gameweek 36
Man City
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Raheem Sterling 19' goal
  • Aymeric Laporte 38' goal
  • Rodri 61' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 75' yellowcard
  • Phil Foden 90' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 31'
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 70'
  • yellowcard Matt Targett 89'

Manchester City vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Leeds 0 - 4 Man City
Goals scored
99
Top scorer
Kevin De Bruyne

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Newcastle 0 - 1 Liverpool
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Callum Wilson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 79.51%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 7.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result

Manchester City 79.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 12.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Newcastle United 7.64% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.86% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 29.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 49.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 50.39% ▼ (-0.02)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 94.25%
Under 0.5 5.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 77.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 22.18% ▼ (-0.01)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 55.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 44.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 19.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 80.91% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Manchester City 79.5%
Draw 12.85%
Newcastle United 7.64%
Manchester City
2-0 @ 10.55%
3-0 @ 10.04% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 8.03%
1-0 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 4.1%
5-1 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.95%
6-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 79.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 12.85%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 7.64%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 18
Newcastle
Dec 19, 2021 2.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
Man City
  • Isaac Hayden 21' yellowcard
  • goal Ruben Dias 5'
  • yellowcard Rodri 25'
  • goal Joao Cancelo 27'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 30'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 63'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 86'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Newcastle
May 14, 2021 8.00pm
3
4
HT : 2 2
FT
Man City
  • Emil Krafth 25' goal
  • Matt Ritchie 36' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 45'+6' goal
  • Jonjo Shelvey 59' yellowcard
  • Joe Willock 62' goal
  • goal Joao Cancelo 39'
  • goal Ferran Torres 42'
  • yellowcard Rodri 44'
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 56'
  • goal Ferran Torres 64'
  • goal Ferran Torres 66'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Man City
Dec 26, 2020 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Ilkay Gundogan 14' goal
  • Rodri 34' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 55' goal
  • Joao Cancelo 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Ritchie 64'
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 80'
Premier League Gameweek 34
Man City
Jul 8, 2020 6.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Newcastle
  • Gabriel Jesus 10' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 21' goal
  • Federico Fernandez 58' goal
  • David Silva 65' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 90'+1' goal
FA Cup
Newcastle
Jun 28, 2020 6.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Man City
  • Andy Carroll 61' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 37'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 68'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Newcastle
Nov 30, 2019 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Man City
  • Jetro Willems 25' goal
  • Javi Manquillo 73' yellowcard
  • Jonjo Shelvey 88' goal
  • goal Raheem Sterling 22'
  • yellowcard Ilkay Gundogan 24'
  • yellowcard Fernandinho 53'
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 82'

Form Data

Real Madrid 3 - 1 Man City
Leeds 0 - 4 Man City
Man City 4 - 3 Real Madrid
Man City 5 - 1 Watford
Man City 3 - 0 Brighton
Man City 2 - 3 Liverpool
Newcastle 0 - 1 Liverpool
Norwich 0 - 3 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 0 Crystal Palace
Newcastle 2 - 1 Leicester
Newcastle 1 - 0 Wolves
Spurs 5 - 1 Newcastle

Build-up

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