Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 36

May 8, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
5 - 0
Newcastle

Sterling (19', 90+3'), Laporte (38'), Rodri (61'), Foden (90')
De Bruyne (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Guimaraes (31'), Burn (70'), Targett (89')

Reaction

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola celebrates their first goal on May 8, 2022

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May 8, 19:56

Manchester City's John Stones and Ruben Dias pictured on April 26, 2022

Manchester City's Ruben Dias, Kyle Walker, John Stones all ruled out for rest of season

Pep Guardiola confirms that Manchester City defenders Ruben Dias, Kyle Walker and John Stones will miss the rest of the season due to injury.

May 8, 19:30

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City	38	73	93
2	Liverpool	38	68	92
3	Chelsea	38	43	74

Newcastle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Wolverhampton Wanderers	38	-5	51
11	Newcastle United	38	-18	49
12	Crystal Palace	38	4	48

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 79.51%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 7.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Newcastle United
79.51% ( -0)	12.85% ( -0)	7.64% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.86% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.67% (

0.01)

29.33% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.61% (

0.02)

50.39% (

-0.02)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.25%

5.75% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.81% (

22.18% (

-0.01)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.03% (

0.01)

44.97% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.09% (

0.01)

80.91% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 79.5%

Newcastle United 7.64%

Draw 12.85%

Manchester City	Draw	Newcastle United
2-0 @ 10.55% 3-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0) 3-1 @ 8.03% 1-0 @ 7.39% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.17% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.73% ( 0) 5-0 @ 4.1% 5-1 @ 3.28% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.95% 6-1 @ 1.56% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 4.46% Total : 79.5%	1-1 @ 5.91% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.59% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 12.85%	1-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.07% ( -0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 7.64%