| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | -5 | 51 |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 38 | -18 | 49 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| 15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 37.24% | 26.78% | 35.98% |
| Both teams to score 51.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.54% | 53.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.01% | 74.98% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% | 27.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.65% | 63.35% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% | 28.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.71% | 64.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 8.16% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.88% Total : 37.23% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 9.93% 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-2 @ 6.23% 1-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.98% |