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Premier League | Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Molineux
Aston Villa logo
Wolves
2 - 1
Aston Villa
Castro (7'), Young (36' og.)
Coady (25'), Castro (66'), Marcal (90+2'), Neto (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Watkins (86' pen.)
McGinn (38'), Young (90+3'), Konsa (90+4')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 0-1 Aston Villa

Jimenez and Neves's absences coupled with Neto's fitness woes and an underwhelming spell of form does not spell optimism for Wolves here, but Villa did not enter the international break in glittering form either. However, Gerrard has plenty of choice when it comes to freshening up his attack and is working with a much fitter squad than Lage, so we can picture Villa returning to winning ways in this derby as Wolves' continental aspirations take yet another hit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawAston Villa
37.24%26.78%35.98%
Both teams to score 51.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.54%53.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.01%74.98%
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23%27.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.65%63.35%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48%28.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.71%64.29%
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 37.23%
    Aston Villa 35.98%
    Draw 26.77%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 8.16%
2-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 37.23%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.93%
1-2 @ 7.99%
0-2 @ 6.23%
1-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35.98%

How you voted: Wolves vs Aston Villa

Wolverhampton Wanderers
30.3%
Draw
22.3%
Aston Villa
47.3%
188
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Aston Villa
2-3
Wolves
Ings (48'), McGinn (68')
Mings (61'), Watkins (81')
Saiss (80'), Coady (85'), Neves (90+5')
Neves (52'), Dendoncker (88')
Dec 12, 2020 12.30pm
Wolves
0-1
Aston Villa

Traore (43'), Dendoncker (77'), Moutinho (83')
Moutinho (90+5')
El Ghazi (90+4' pen.)
Luiz (14'), Cash (29'), McGinn (30'), Targett (81'), Konsa (82'), Grealish (88')
Luiz (85')
Jun 27, 2020 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal28204470244664
2Liverpool28197265263964
3Manchester CityMan City28196363283563
4Aston Villa29175760421856
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs28165759421753
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd28152113939047
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham2912894650-444
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2811985044642
9Wolverhampton WanderersWolves28125114244-241
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle281241259481140
11Chelsea27116104745239
12Fulham29115134344-138
13Bournemouth2898114152-1135
14Crystal Palace2878133348-1529
15Brentford2975174154-1326
16Everton2887132939-1025
17Luton TownLuton2957174260-1822
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2967163551-1621
19Burnley2945202963-3417
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2835202474-5014

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