Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 36

May 7, 2022 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
1 - 3
Aston Villa

Cornet (90+1')
Brownhill (69')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ings (7'), Buendia (31'), Watkins (52')
Digne (21'), Watkins (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Leeds United	38	-37	38
18	Burnley	38	-19	35
19	Watford	38	-43	23

Aston Villa

Last Six:

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Brentford	38	-8	46
14	Aston Villa	38	-2	45
15	Southampton	38	-24	40

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Aston Villa
26.89%	26.29%	46.82%

Both teams to score 49.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.58%

54.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.21%

75.79%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.6%

35.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.84%

72.16%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.77%

23.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.87%

57.13%

Score Analysis

Burnley 26.89%

Aston Villa 46.82%

Draw 26.28%

Burnley	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 8.54% 2-1 @ 6.47% 2-0 @ 4.43% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.03% Total : 26.89%	1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 12% 1-2 @ 9.1% 0-2 @ 8.76% 1-3 @ 4.43% 0-3 @ 4.26% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.8% Total : 46.82%