Burnley vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.