Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 35

Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 2
Burnley

Tarkowski (8' og.)
Kucka (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cork (83'), Brownhill (86')
Tarkowski (48'), Collins (90+1')

Reaction

Watford manager Roy Hodgson on April 9, 2022

Watford 'step up search for Roy Hodgson successor'

Watford step up their search for a successor to current manager Roy Hodgson following Saturday's 2-1 defeat to Burnley, according to a report.

May 1, 11:04

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Watford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

Last Six:

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Burnley	38	-19	35
19	Watford	38	-43	23
20	Norwich City	38	-61	22

Burnley

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Leeds United	38	-37	38
18	Burnley	38	-19	35
19	Watford	38	-43	23

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
Watford	Draw	Burnley
34.45%	26.49%	39.06%

Both teams to score 52.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.57%

52.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.89%

74.11%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.04%

28.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.15%

64.85%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.74%

26.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.63%

61.36%

Score Analysis

Watford 34.45%

Burnley 39.05%

Draw 26.49%

Watford	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 9.42% 2-1 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.45%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.6% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49%	0-1 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.05%