Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 22, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
2 - 1
Watford

Havertz (11'), Barkley (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gosling (87')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

Last Six:

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Liverpool	38	68	92
3	Chelsea	38	43	74
4	Tottenham Hotspur	38	29	71

Watford

Last Six:

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Burnley	38	-19	35
19	Watford	38	-43	23
20	Norwich City	38	-61	22

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 77.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 7.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.82%) and 1-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Watford
77.69% ( -0)	14.44% ( 0)	7.87% ( 0)

Both teams to score 46.06% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.05% (

36.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.86% (

59.14%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.26% (

-0)

7.74% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.45%

27.55% (

-0)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.93% (

50.07% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.29% (

84.71% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Chelsea 77.69%

Watford 7.87%

Draw 14.44%

Chelsea	Draw	Watford
2-0 @ 12.68% 3-0 @ 10.82% 1-0 @ 9.92% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 7.49% 4-0 @ 6.92% 4-1 @ 4.79% 5-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.59% 5-1 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.66% 6-0 @ 1.51% 6-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.51% Total : 77.69%	1-1 @ 6.86% 0-0 @ 3.88% 2-2 @ 3.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 14.44%	0-1 @ 2.68% 1-2 @ 2.37% 0-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 7.87%