/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fchelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
-
Kai Havertz
11'
-
Ross Barkley
90'+1'
-
Dan Gosling
87'
Chelsea vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F19%2Fdan-james-mateo-kovacic.JPG)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F19%2Fthomas-tuchel_1.JPG)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F14%2Fkepa-arrizabalaga.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 77.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 7.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.82%) and 1-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result
Chelsea
77.69%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
14.44%
▲
(+0.01)
Watford
7.87%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
46.06%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.05%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
36.95%
Over 3.5
40.86%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
59.14%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5
92.26%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
7.74%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
72.45%
Under 1.5
27.55%
▼
(-0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
49.93%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
50.07%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
15.29%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
84.71%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Chelsea
77.69%
Draw
14.44%
Watford
7.87%
Chelsea
2-0
@
12.68%
3-0 @ 10.82%
1-0 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.78%
3-1 @ 7.49%
4-0 @ 6.92%
4-1 @ 4.79%
5-0 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 2.59%
5-1 @ 2.45%
4-2 @ 1.66%
6-0 @ 1.51%
6-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 77.69%
3-0 @ 10.82%
1-0 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.78%
3-1 @ 7.49%
4-0 @ 6.92%
4-1 @ 4.79%
5-0 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 2.59%
5-1 @ 2.45%
4-2 @ 1.66%
6-0 @ 1.51%
6-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 77.69%
Draw
1-1
@
6.86%
0-0 @ 3.88%
2-2 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 14.44%
0-0 @ 3.88%
2-2 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 14.44%
Watford
0-1
@
2.68%
1-2 @ 2.37%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 7.87%
1-2 @ 2.37%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 7.87%
Tiemoue Bakayoko
30'