Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 33

Apr 16, 2022 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 2
Brentford

Dennis (55')
Kamara (53'), Louza (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Norgaard (15'), Jansson (90+5')
Toney (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Watford and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

Last Six:

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Burnley	38	-19	35
19	Watford	38	-43	23
20	Norwich City	38	-61	22

Brentford

Last Six:

Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Crystal Palace	38	4	48
13	Brentford	38	-8	46
14	Aston Villa	38	-2	45

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Watford had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Brentford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brentford.

Result
Watford	Draw	Brentford
28.31%	25.86%	45.83%

Both teams to score 51.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.06%

51.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.31%

73.69%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.04%

32.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.46%

69.54%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.37%

22.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.74%

56.25%

Score Analysis

Watford 28.31%

Brentford 45.83%

Draw 25.86%

Watford	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 8.28% 2-1 @ 6.83% 2-0 @ 4.59% 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 1.88% 3-0 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.51% Total : 28.31%	1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.86%	0-1 @ 11.08% 1-2 @ 9.14% 0-2 @ 8.23% 1-3 @ 4.53% 0-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.13% Total : 45.83%