Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Watford had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Brentford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brentford.