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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Brentford logo

Norwich
1 - 3
Brentford

Pukki (90+2')
Gibson (51'), Hanley (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Toney (32', 52' pen., 58' pen.)
Ajer (24'), Eriksen (40'), Jansson (79'), Roerslev (89'), Mbeumo (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Norwich City and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 1-1 Norwich
Sunday, May 15 at 2pm in Premier League
Next Game: Norwich vs. Spurs
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 2-3 Brentford
Sunday, May 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Next Game: Brentford vs. Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Norwich City 1-2 Brentford

Brentford's inability to keep the back door shut away from home is well-documented, but Norwich boast the worst home attacking record in the division ahead of this relegation six-pointer. Both sides will view this encounter as a priceless opportunity to end their winless runs, but with the Bees enjoying a longer period of rest and boosted by having Toney and Eriksen raring to go, we are tipping the visitors to finally post another victory as Norwich remain rooted to the bottom. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBrentford
37.24%28.11%34.65%
Both teams to score 47.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.29%58.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.75%79.25%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.67%30.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49%66.51%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.03%31.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.57%68.43%
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 37.23%
    Brentford 34.64%
    Draw 28.11%
Norwich CityDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 11.56%
2-1 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 6.9%
3-1 @ 3.13%
3-0 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 37.23%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.69%
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.11%
0-1 @ 11.05%
1-2 @ 7.52%
0-2 @ 6.3%
1-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.64%

How you voted: Norwich vs Brentford

Norwich City
37.8%
Draw
20.5%
Brentford
41.7%
127
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Brentford
1-2
Norwich
Henry (60')
Toney (4'), Goode (28')
Normann (6'), Pukki (29' pen.)
Normann (32'), Omobamidele (52'), Aarons (90')
Mar 3, 2021 5.30pm
Oct 27, 2020 7.45pm
Jul 24, 2019 4.30pm
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Brentford
1-1
Norwich
Jeanvier (22')
Sawyers (24'), Henry (66'), Dalsgaard (87'), Watkins (90')
Klose (83')
Zimmermann (20'), Aarons (45'), Klose (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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