| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
| 16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
| 17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 4 | 48 |
| 13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Brentford |
| 48.09% ( | 25.88% ( | 26.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.58% ( | 53.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.05% ( | 74.95% ( |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( | 22.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.35% ( | 55.65% ( |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.43% ( | 35.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.66% ( | 72.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Brentford |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 4-0 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 48.08% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 2-2 @ 4.78% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 26.03% |