| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
| 16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
| 17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Liverpool | 38 | 68 | 92 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 38 | 43 | 74 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 29 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 59.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Everton had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.44%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Chelsea |
| 18.63% | 22.22% | 59.15% |
| Both teams to score 51.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.64% | 46.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.35% | 68.64% |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.24% | 38.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.51% | 75.49% |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.69% | 15.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.96% | 44.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Chelsea |
| 1-0 @ 5.62% 2-1 @ 5% 2-0 @ 2.67% 3-1 @ 1.58% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.27% Total : 18.63% | 1-1 @ 10.55% 0-0 @ 5.93% 2-2 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.21% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 0-2 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-3 @ 6.54% 1-3 @ 6.2% 0-4 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.94% 1-4 @ 2.91% 2-4 @ 1.38% 0-5 @ 1.15% 1-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.14% |