Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 17.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.