Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 20

Mar 17, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
1 - 0
Newcastle

Iwobi (90+9')
Richarlison (64'), Gordon (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Krafth (76')

Reaction

Everton manager Frank Lampard and Richarlison celebrate after the match on March 17, 2022

Frank Lampard breaks hand in Everton celebrations

Everton manager Frank Lampard reveals that he broke his hand during the celebrations after Alex Iwobi scored a late winner against Newcastle United.

Mar 18, 10:02

The Match

Team News

Newcastle United are set to make late calls on Jonjo Shelvey and Joelinton before facing Everton tonight.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Everton and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

Last Six:

Last Game: Arsenal 5-1 Everton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Southampton	38	-24	40
16	Everton	38	-23	39
17	Leeds United	38	-37	38

Newcastle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Wolverhampton Wanderers	38	-5	51
11	Newcastle United	38	-18	49
12	Crystal Palace	38	4	48

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Newcastle United
45.92%	26.48%	27.6%

Both teams to score 49.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.27%

54.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.95%

76.05%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.21%

23.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.06%

57.94%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.02%

34.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.27%

71.73%

Score Analysis

Everton 45.91%

Newcastle United 27.6%

Draw 26.48%

Everton	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.67% Total : 45.91%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 8.74% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.59% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.6%