Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 22, 2022 at 4pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
5 - 1
Everton

Martinelli (27' pen.), Nketiah (31'), Soares (56'), Magalhaes (59'), Odegaard (82')

FT(HT: 2-1)

van de Beek (45+3')
Davies (69')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

Last Six:

Last Game: Arsenal 5-1 Everton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Tottenham Hotspur	38	29	71
5	Arsenal	38	13	69
6	Manchester United	38	0	58

Everton

Last Six:

Last Game: Arsenal 5-1 Everton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Southampton	38	-24	40
16	Everton	38	-23	39
17	Leeds United	38	-37	38

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 65.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Everton had a probability of 14.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Everton
65.46% ( 0.22)	20.32% ( 0.22)	14.21% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 48.39% (

-1.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.92% (

-1.9)

46.07% (

1.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.62% (

-1.82)

68.37% (

1.82)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.74% (

-0.52)

13.26% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.95% (

-1.05)

40.04% (

1.05)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.78% (

-1.81)

44.22% (

1.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.7% (

-1.52)

80.3% (

1.51)

Score Analysis

Arsenal 65.45%

Everton 14.21%

Draw 20.32%

Arsenal	Draw	Everton
2-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.5) 1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.71) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.83% Total : 65.45%	1-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.32%	0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.37% Total : 14.21%