Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Newcastle United | 38 | -18 | 49 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 4 | 48 |
13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Crystal Palace |
36.7% ( 0.11) | 27.66% ( -0.01) | 35.64% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 48.84% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.04% ( 0.06) | 56.96% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.14% ( 0.05) | 77.86% ( -0.05) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.21% ( 0.1) | 29.79% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.14% ( 0.12) | 65.86% ( -0.12) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.56% ( -0.03) | 30.44% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.35% ( -0.04) | 66.65% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Crystal Palace |
1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.7% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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