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May 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Goodison Park
Everton
3 - 2
Crystal Palace
Keane (54'), Richarlison (75'), Calvert-Lewin (85')
Keane (67'), Doucoure (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mateta (21'), Ayew (36')
Hughes (32'), Ayew (34'), Zaha (69')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Everton and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 5-1 Everton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Everton 1-1 Crystal Palace

Palace are the Premier League's stalemate specialists with a whopping 15 draws already this season, and it would not be a surprise to see a similarly tight contest on the Goodison turf. Everton's recent defensive implosion and hefty injury list has hampered their bid to secure survival early, and Vieira's side have what it takes to keep the Toffees at bay for large portions and force them to do it the hard way at the Emirates. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.

Result
EvertonDrawCrystal Palace
36.7% (0.109 0.11) 27.66% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 35.64% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 48.84% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.04% (0.058 0.06)56.96% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.14% (0.045999999999999 0.05)77.86% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.21% (0.096000000000004 0.1)29.79% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14% (0.116 0.12)65.86% (-0.116 -0.12)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)30.44% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)66.65% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Everton 36.7%
    Crystal Palace 35.64%
    Draw 27.66%
EvertonDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.65% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 36.7%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.41% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 35.64%

How you voted: Everton vs Crystal Palace

Everton
45.5%
Draw
25.3%
Crystal Palace
29.2%
308
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 12.30pm
Crystal Palace
4-0
Everton
Guehi (25'), Mateta (41'), Zaha (79'), Hughes (87')

Gordon (62'), Gomes (64')
Dec 12, 2021 4.30pm
Crystal Palace
3-1
Everton
Gallagher (41', 90+3'), Tomkins (62')
Rondon (70')
Doucoure (72'), Gray (76')
Apr 5, 2021 6pm
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-2
Everton
Kouyate (26')
Zaha (23'), McArthur (45+3'), Ward (59')
Calvert-Lewin (10'), Richarlison (40' pen.)
Richarlison (60')

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