| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
| 16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
| 17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 38 | -18 | 49 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 4 | 48 |
| 13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 36.7% ( | 27.66% ( | 35.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.04% ( | 56.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.14% ( | 77.86% ( |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% ( | 29.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.14% ( | 65.86% ( |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.56% ( | 30.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.35% ( | 66.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% ( 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 2-0 @ 6.65% ( 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 4-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.7% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 2-2 @ 4.7% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0-3 @ 2.54% ( 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 1-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.64% |