| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| 15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
| 16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 38 | -18 | 49 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 4 | 48 |
| 13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 36.77% | 26.64% | 36.58% |
| Both teams to score 52.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.1% | 52.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.49% | 74.51% |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.22% | 27.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.64% | 63.36% |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.11% | 27.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.88% Total : 36.77% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.74% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 9.89% 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-2 @ 6.32% 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.85% Total : 36.58% |