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Premier League | Gameweek 34
Apr 24, 2022 at 2pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Southampton logo

Brighton
2 - 2
Southampton

Welbeck (2'), Salisu (44' og.)
Cucurella (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ward-Prowse (45+4', 54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Southampton

Both of these sides will be determined to bounce back from midweek defeats, but we are finding it difficult to separate them here. Brighton are in the better form, but they have only won three home Premier League matches this season, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSouthampton
45.93%25.79%28.28%
Both teams to score 52.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.35%51.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56%73.44%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54%22.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44%56%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18%32.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61%69.39%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 45.92%
    Southampton 28.29%
    Draw 25.78%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 8.22%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 45.92%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.21%
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-2 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 28.29%

How you voted: Brighton vs Southampton

Brighton & Hove Albion
58.3%
Draw
27.8%
Southampton
13.9%
144
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Southampton
1-1
Brighton
Broja (29')
Tella (69'), Salisu (80'), Elyounoussi (90+4'), Romeu (90+7')
Maupay (90+8')
Duffy (45'), Bissouma (74')
Mar 14, 2021 12pm
Dec 7, 2020 8pm
Brighton
1-2
Southampton
Gross (26' pen.)
Dunk (56'), Gross (80'), Bissouma (89')
Vestergaard (45'), Ings (81' pen.)
Djenepo (13'), Romeu (47'), McCarthy (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal28204470244664
2Liverpool28197265263964
3Manchester CityMan City28196363283563
4Aston Villa29175760421856
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs28165759421753
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd28152113939047
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham2912894650-444
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2811985044642
9Wolverhampton WanderersWolves28125114244-241
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle281241259481140
11Chelsea27116104745239
12Fulham29115134344-138
13Bournemouth2898114152-1135
14Crystal Palace2878133348-1529
15Brentford2975174154-1326
16Everton2887132939-1025
17Luton TownLuton2957174260-1822
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2967163551-1621
19Burnley2945202963-3417
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2835202474-5014


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