Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-0 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.