| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
| 17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
| 18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Leicester City | 38 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | -5 | 51 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-0 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 25.86% ( | 23.96% ( | 50.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.39% ( | 45.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.06% ( | 67.94% ( |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.48% ( | 31.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.09% ( | 67.91% ( |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.77% ( | 18.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.73% ( | 49.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 2-0 @ 3.83% ( 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 3-0 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 25.86% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 3-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.96% | 0-1 @ 9.78% ( 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0-2 @ 8.32% ( 1-3 @ 5.45% ( 0-3 @ 4.72% ( 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 1-4 @ 2.32% ( 0-4 @ 2.01% ( 2-4 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 3.47% Total : 50.17% |