Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 33

May 11, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
0 - 3
Chelsea

Phillips (43')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mount (4'), Pulisic (55'), Lukaku (83')

Reaction

Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel during the 3-0 win against Leeds United on May 11, 2022.

Thomas Tuchel: 'Chelsea needed big performance versus Leeds United'

Head coach Thomas Tuchel says that his Chelsea side "needed" a big performance as they cruised past 10-man Leeds United in the Premier League.

May 11, 21:18

Leeds United winger Dan James is sent off for lunge on Chelsea midfielder Mateo Kovacic on May 11, 2022.

Chelsea boss Thomas Tuchel expects Mateo Kovacic to miss FA Cup final

Head coach Thomas Tuchel says that he expects Chelsea midfielder Mateo Kovacic to miss Saturday's FA Cup final with an ankle injury.

May 11, 21:03

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

Last Six:

Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Everton	38	-23	39
17	Leeds United	38	-37	38
18	Burnley	38	-19	35

Chelsea

Last Six:

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Liverpool	38	68	92
3	Chelsea	38	43	74
4	Tottenham Hotspur	38	29	71

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 75.75%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 9.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Leeds United win it was 2-1 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Chelsea
9.35% ( 0.22)	14.9% ( 0.22)	75.75% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 51.48% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.3% (

-0.39)

33.7% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.47% (

-0.45)

55.53% (

0.45)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.6% (

0.16)

44.4% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.55% (

0.13)

80.45% (

-0.13)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.59% (

-0.18)

7.41% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.31% (

-0.46)

26.69% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 9.35%

Chelsea 75.75%

Draw 14.9%

Leeds United	Draw	Chelsea
2-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.78% Total : 9.35%	1-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.99% Total : 14.9%	0-2 @ 11.14% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 9.67% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 7.85% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 6.29% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 5.11% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 3.28% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 2.66% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 0-6 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) 1-6 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) 2-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.23% Total : 75.75%