Premier League Gameweek 33
Leeds
May 11, 2022 7.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Chelsea
  • Daniel James 24' redcard
  • Kalvin Phillips 43' yellowcard
  • goal Mason Mount 4'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 55'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 83'

Leeds United vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
May 8, 2022 2.00pm
Arsenal 2 - 1 Leeds
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Raphinha

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
May 7, 2022 3.00pm
Chelsea 2 - 2 Wolves
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Mason Mount

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 75.75%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 9.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Leeds United win it was 2-1 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result

Leeds United 9.35% ▲ (+0.22)
Draw 14.9% ▲ (+0.23)
Chelsea 75.75% ▼ (-0.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.48% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.3% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 2.5 33.7% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 3.5 44.47% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 3.5 55.53% ▲ (+0.45)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 55.6% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 0.5 44.4% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 1.5 19.55% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 80.45% ▼ (-0.14)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 92.59% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 0.5 7.41% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 73.31% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 1.5 26.69% ▲ (+0.47)

Score analysis

Leeds United 9.35%
Draw 14.9%
Chelsea 75.75%
Leeds United
2-1 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 9.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 14.9%
Chelsea
0-2 @ 11.14% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 9.67% ▼ (-0.08)
1-2 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.06)
0-1 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 7.85% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.11)
1-4 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.07)
0-5 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.02)
0-6 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.06)
1-6 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.04)
2-5 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 75.75%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 16
Chelsea
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Leeds
  • Reece James 34' yellowcard
  • Mason Mount 42' goal
  • Jorginho 58' goal
  • Mason Mount 60' yellowcard
  • Jorginho 90'+4' goal
  • goal Raphinha 28'
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 42'
  • yellowcard Jamie Shackleton 53'
  • yellowcard Mateusz Klich 69'
  • goal Joe Gelhardt 83'
  • yellowcard Illan Meslier 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Diego Llorente 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Leeds
Mar 13, 2021 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Tyler Roberts 23' yellowcard
  • Ezgjan Alioski 71' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo 75' yellowcard
Premier League Gameweek 11
Chelsea
Dec 5, 2020 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Leeds
  • Olivier Giroud 27' goal
  • Kurt Zouma 61' goal
  • Christian Pulisic 90'+3' goal
  • goal Patrick Bamford 4'
  • yellowcard Diego Llorente 74'
  • yellowcard Raphinha 90'+5'
League Cup
Leeds
Dec 19, 2012 7.45pm
1
5
HT : 1 5
FT
Chelsea
  • Luciano Becchio 0' goal
  • goal Juan Mata 0'
  • goal Branislav Ivanovic 0'
  • goal Victor Moses 0'
  • goal Eden Hazard 0'
  • goal Fernando Torres 0'
Premier League
Chelsea
May 15, 2004 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Leeds
  • Jesper Gronkjaer 20' goal
Premier League
Leeds
Dec 6, 2003 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Jermaine Pennant 18' goal
  • Alan Smith 32' yellowcard
  • Lucas Radebe 41' yellowcard
  • Dominic Matteo 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink 46'
  • goal Damien Duff 70'
  • yellowcard Adrian Mutu 88'

Form Data

Arsenal 2 - 1 Leeds
Leeds 0 - 4 Man City
Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Leeds
Watford 0 - 3 Leeds
Leeds 1 - 1 Southampton
Wolves 2 - 3 Leeds
Chelsea 2 - 2 Wolves
Everton 1 - 0 Chelsea
Man Utd 1 - 1 Chelsea
Chelsea 1 - 0 West Ham
Chelsea 2 - 4 Arsenal
Chelsea 2 - 0 Crystal Palace

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