Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.