Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 35

May 2, 2022 at 8pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
3 - 0
Brentford

Fernandes (9'), Ronaldo (61' pen.), Varane (72')
Matic (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reaction

Manchester United's Jesse Lingard during the warm up before the match, January 22, 2022

Ralf Rangnick defends Jesse Lingard decision

Manchester United interim boss Ralf Rangnick defends his decision not to bring on Jesse Lingard during the 3-0 win over Brentford on Monday.

May 6, 17:21

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

Last Six:

Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-0 Man Utd
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Arsenal	38	13	69
6	Manchester United	38	0	58
7	West Ham United	38	9	56

Brentford

Last Six:

Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Crystal Palace	38	4	48
13	Brentford	38	-8	46
14	Aston Villa	38	-2	45

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 17.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Brentford win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Brentford
61.69%	21.3%	17.01%

Both teams to score 51.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.02%

44.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.67%

67.33%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.95%

14.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.38%

41.62%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.18%

39.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.52%

76.48%

Score Analysis

Manchester United 61.67%

Brentford 17.01%

Draw 21.3%

Manchester United	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 10.97% 2-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 6.49% 4-0 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-2 @ 1.47% 5-0 @ 1.36% 5-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.77% Total : 61.67%	1-1 @ 10.11% 0-0 @ 5.59% 2-2 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.3%	0-1 @ 5.15% 1-2 @ 4.66% 0-2 @ 2.37% 1-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.01% Total : 17.01%