Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 16.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crystal Palace in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crystal Palace.