| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 38 | -18 | 49 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 4 | 48 |
| 13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
| 19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
| 20 | Norwich City | 38 | -61 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 16.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crystal Palace in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crystal Palace.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Watford |
| 60.94% | 22.43% | 16.63% |
| Both teams to score 47.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.68% | 50.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.74% | 72.26% |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.94% | 16.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.56% | 45.44% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.51% | 43.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.3% | 79.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 12.77% 2-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 7.12% 3-1 @ 5.93% 4-0 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.47% 5-0 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 1.13% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.98% Total : 60.93% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.75% Total : 22.42% | 0-1 @ 5.82% 1-2 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.42% 1-3 @ 1.23% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.61% Total : 16.63% |