| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | -5 | 51 |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 38 | -18 | 49 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 4 | 48 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 29 | 71 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 38 | 13 | 69 |
| 6 | Manchester United | 38 | 0 | 58 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Arsenal |
| 22.9% ( | 23.59% ( | 53.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.2% ( | 46.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.94% ( | 69.06% ( |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.31% ( | 34.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.58% ( | 71.42% ( |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.57% ( | 17.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.13% ( | 47.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 6.4% ( 2-1 @ 5.92% ( 2-0 @ 3.39% ( 3-1 @ 2.09% ( 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 3-0 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 22.9% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.59% | 0-1 @ 10.56% ( 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0-2 @ 9.23% ( 1-3 @ 5.69% ( 0-3 @ 5.37% ( 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 1-4 @ 2.49% ( 0-4 @ 2.35% ( 2-4 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.72% Total : 53.5% |