Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 22, 2022 at 4pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
1 - 2
Newcastle

Cornet (69')
Tarkowski (65')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wilson (20' pen., 60')

Reaction

Burnley co-caretaker manager Mike Jackson talks to James Tarkowski on May 22, 2022

Burnley relegated from the Premier League

Burnley are relegated from the Premier League following their 2-1 defeat at home to Newcastle United on the final day of the season on Sunday.

May 22, 16:59

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Leeds United	38	-37	38
18	Burnley	38	-19	35
19	Watford	38	-43	23

Newcastle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Wolverhampton Wanderers	38	-5	51
11	Newcastle United	38	-18	49
12	Crystal Palace	38	4	48

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Newcastle United
43.47% ( -0.1)	25.55% ( 0.02)	30.98% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 54.36% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.6% (

-0.07)

49.4% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.56% (

-0.07)

71.44% (

0.07)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.35% (

-0.08)

22.65% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.72% (

-0.12)

56.28% (

0.12)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.28% (

0.02)

29.72% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.22% (

0.02)

65.78% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Burnley 43.47%

Newcastle United 30.98%

Draw 25.54%

Burnley	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.47%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 30.98%