Premier League Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • James Tarkowski 65' yellowcard
  • Maxwel Cornet 69' goal
  • goal Callum Wilson 20'
  • goal Callum Wilson 60'

Burnley vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
May 19, 2022 8.00pm
Aston Villa 1 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Maxwel Cornet

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2022 8.00pm
Newcastle 2 - 0 Arsenal
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Callum Wilson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

Burnley 43.47% (-0.11)
Draw 25.55% (+0.03)
Newcastle United 30.98% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.36% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.6% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 49.4% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 28.56% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 71.44% (+0.07)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 77.35% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 22.65% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 43.72% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 56.28% (+0.13)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 70.28% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.72% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 34.22% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 65.78% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Burnley 43.47%
Draw 25.54%
Newcastle United 30.98%
Burnley
1-0 @ 10% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.42% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 43.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.54%
Newcastle United
0-1 @ 8.17% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.36% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.96% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.98% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 30.98%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Callum Wilson 40' goal
  • Javi Manquillo 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Collins 75'
EFL Cup
Aug 25, 2021 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
ET St. James' Park
  • yellowcard Nathan Collins 79'
  • yellowcard Dwight McNeil 80'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 11, 2021 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matej Vydra 18' goal
  • Josh Brownhill 69' yellowcard
  • goal Jacob Murphy 59'
  • goal Allan Saint-Maximin 64'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Allan Saint-Maximin 14' goal
  • Joelinton 37' yellowcard
  • Jamal Lewis 49' yellowcard
  • Callum Wilson 65' goal
  • Callum Wilson 77' goal
  • yellowcard James Tarkowski 37'
  • yellowcard Ashley Barnes 40'
  • goal Ashley Westwood 61'
  • yellowcard Dwight McNeil 69'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Feb 29, 2020 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Danny Rose 34' yellowcard
  • Dwight Gayle 59' yellowcard
  • Jonjo Shelvey 70' yellowcard
  • Javi Manquillo 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Phil Bardsley 39'
  • yellowcard James Tarkowski 64'
  • yellowcard Ben Mee 90'
Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 14, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chris Wood 58' goal
  • yellowcard Joelinton 41'
  • yellowcard Andy Carroll 59'

Build-up

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