Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 18

May 19, 2022 at 8pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 1
Burnley

Buendia (48')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Barnes (45' pen.)
Long (55')
Lowton (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

Last Six:

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Brentford	38	-8	46
14	Aston Villa	38	-2	45
15	Southampton	38	-24	40

Burnley

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Leeds United	38	-37	38
18	Burnley	38	-19	35
19	Watford	38	-43	23

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Burnley
49.62% ( 0.02)	25.63% ( -0.01)	24.75% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.71% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.63% (

0.02)

53.37% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.09% (

0.02)

74.91% (

-0.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.47% (

0.02)

21.53% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.4% (

0.02)

54.6% (

-0.02)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.35%

36.65% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.56% (

-0)

73.43% (

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 49.61%

Burnley 24.75%

Draw 25.62%

Aston Villa	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 12.11% 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 49.61%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 24.75%