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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 4pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Man City
3 - 2
Aston Villa

Gundogan (76', 81'), Rodri (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cash (37'), Coutinho (69')
Mings (49'), Nakamba (87')

The Match

Match Report

Manchester City are crowned Premier League champions after coming from two goals down to beat Aston Villa 3-2 at the Etihad Stadium on Sunday.

Team News

John Stones starts for Manchester City in their Premier League title-deciding clash at home to against Aston Villa, while Kyle Walker features on the substitutes' bench.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield
Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 14.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawAston Villa
67.25% (0.0040000000000049 0) 18.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 14.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 57.39% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)34.86% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.17% (0.0049999999999955 0)56.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.45% (0.0010000000000048 0)9.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)31.99% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.45%36.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.66% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)73.34%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 67.25%
    Aston Villa 14.64%
    Draw 18.11%
Manchester CityDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.63%
1-0 @ 8.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 7.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 4.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.82%
4-2 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.08%
5-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 67.25%
1-1 @ 8.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 18.11%
1-2 @ 4.15%
0-1 @ 3.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.64%
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 14.64%

How you voted: Man City vs Aston Villa

Manchester City
71.6%
Draw
16.2%
Aston Villa
12.2%
296
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2021 8.15pm
Apr 21, 2021 8.15pm
Aston Villa
1-2
Man City
McGinn (1')
Cash (54')
Cash (57')
Foden (22'), Rodri (40')
Gundogan (44')
Stones (44')
Jan 20, 2021 6pm
Man City
2-0
Aston Villa
Silva (79'), Gundogan (90' pen.)

McGinn (67'), Smith (81'), Taylor (86')
Smith (81')
Build-up
Manchester City's Sergio Aguero celebrates scoring the winning goal against Queens Park Rangers on May 13, 2012
A look at Manchester City's record on the final day
Sports Mole takes a look at Manchester City's record in the Premier League on the final day ahead of their encounter with Aston Villa on Sunday.
May 21, 19:12
Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola applauds the fans after the match on May 15, 2022
Pep Guardiola looking to surpass Wenger, Mourinho tallies with Aston Villa win
Pep Guardiola aims to become the most successful non-British manager in Premier League history as Manchester City aim to win the title against Aston Villa.
May 21, 18:29
Manchester City's Darius Vassell in action with Aston Villa's Gareth Barry and Martin Laursen on September 16, 2007
Manchester City's head-to-head record vs. Aston Villa
Sports Mole takes a closer look at Manchester City's head-to-head Premier League record against Aston Villa ahead of Sunday's showdown at the Etihad Stadium.
May 21, 16:23
Manchester City's Fernandinho celebrates scoring their fourth goal on April 30, 2022
Pep Guardiola: 'We wish Fernandinho all the best for the future'
Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pays tribute to captain Fernandinho, who will be leaving the club this summer after nine years at the Etihad Stadium.
May 20, 15:03
Manchester City's Kyle Walker pictured on April 13, 2022
Pep Guardiola: 'Kyle Walker, John Stones could feature against Aston Villa'
Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola reveals that defenders Kyle Walker and John Stones could be in contention to play against Aston Villa on Sunday.
May 20, 14:30
Aston Villa manager Steven Gerrard on March 19, 2022
Aston Villa looking to end 15-year streak against Manchester City
Aston Villa will be looking to end a 15-year streak when they face Manchester City in the Premier League on Sunday afternoon.
May 20, 13:32
Manchester City's John Stones and Ruben Dias pictured on April 26, 2022
How Manchester City could line up against Aston Villa
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.
May 20, 12:44
Manchester City's Kyle Walker pictured on April 13, 2022
Kyle Walker, John Stones return to Manchester City training
Manchester City defenders Kyle Walker and John Stones return to training ahead of the final game of the season against Aston Villa at the Etihad Stadium on Sunday.
May 19, 17:52
Manchester City's John Stones and Ruben Dias pictured on April 26, 2022
Manchester City team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Aston Villa
Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Aston Villa.
May 19, 08:50
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Bournemouth157352320324
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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