Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 72.73%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 10.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.18%) and 0-3 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-0 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.