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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 4pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Leeds logo

Brentford
1 - 2
Leeds

Canos (78')
Raya (55'), Canos (78'), Toney (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Raphinha (56' pen.), Harrison (90+4')
Phillips (82')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United avoid relegation from the Premier League after goals from Raphinha and Jack Harrison help secure a 2-1 win at Brentford on Sunday.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
BrentfordDrawLeeds United
46.62% (-0.838 -0.84)24.25% (0.14 0.14)29.13% (0.7 0.7)
Both teams to score 57.67% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.4% (-0.196 -0.2)44.6% (0.197 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.03% (-0.19 -0.19)66.97% (0.191 0.19)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (-0.42100000000001 -0.42)19.26% (0.423 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.01% (-0.7 -0.7)50.99% (0.701 0.7)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43% (0.393 0.39)28.57% (-0.391 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.64% (0.489 0.49)64.36% (-0.488 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 46.62%
    Leeds United 29.13%
    Draw 24.24%
BrentfordDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-0 @ 9.06% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 46.62%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.047 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.12 0.12)
0-1 @ 6.9% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.129 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.97% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.073 0.07)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 29.13%

How you voted: Brentford vs Leeds

Brentford
65.7%
Draw
10.1%
Leeds United
24.2%
198
Head to Head
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Leeds
2-2
Brentford
Roberts (27'), Bamford (90+5')
Roberts (29'), Harrison (75'), Klich (79'), Raphinha (85'), Bamford (90+5')
Baptiste (54'), Canos (61')
Goode (45+2'), Canos (55'), Henry (80')
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 21, 2019 7.45pm
Apr 22, 2019 5.15pm
Brentford
2-0
Leeds
Maupay (45'), Canos (62')
Maupay (73'), Konsa (76'), Watkins (79')

Klich (77')
Oct 6, 2018 12.30pm
Leeds
1-1
Brentford
Jansson (88')
Roberts (45'), Jansson (47'), Ayling (47'), Peacock-Farrell (61')
Ayling (94')
Maupay (62' pen.)
Mepham (66'), Odubajo (71')