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Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
London Stadium
Aston Villa logo

West Ham
2 - 1
Aston Villa

Yarmolenko (70'), Fornals (82')
Lanzini (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ramsey (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between West Ham United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: West Ham United 2-2 Aston Villa

Despite West Ham sitting higher in the table, there is an argument that Villa are the marginal favourites ahead of this contest. Nevertheless, West Ham have been playing well without converting their chances, and if everything comes together at the weekend, we can see an entertaining draw being played out in the capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawAston Villa
40.66%27.55%31.79%
Both teams to score 48.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.89%57.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.01%77.98%
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44%27.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.92%63.08%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.91%33.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.31%69.69%
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 40.65%
    Aston Villa 31.78%
    Draw 27.54%
West Ham UnitedDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 7.57%
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 40.65%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.12%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 5.58%
1-3 @ 2.65%
0-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 31.78%

How you voted: West Ham vs Aston Villa

West Ham United
42.4%
Draw
23.6%
Aston Villa
34.0%
144
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2021 4.30pm
Aston Villa
1-4
West Ham
Watkins (34')
McGinn (79')
Konsa (50')
Johnson (7'), Rice (38'), Fornals (80'), Bowen (84')
Fornals (79'), Bowen (79')
Feb 3, 2021 8.15pm
Aston Villa
1-3
West Ham
Watkins (81')
Luiz (70')
Soucek (51'), Lingard (56', 83')
Cresswell (65')
Nov 30, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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