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The Match

Team News

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola makes five changes to his starting lineup for the first leg of their Champions League last-16 tie against Sporting Lisbon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Manchester City could line up in Tuesday's Champions League clash with Sporting Lisbon.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Sporting Lisbon.

We said: Sporting Lisbon 1-2 Manchester City

Man City will fancy their chances of securing a first-leg advantage on Tuesday evening, but Sporting deserve a lot of respect for their performances this season. The Portuguese giants should be able to get their name on the scoresheet, but we are expecting the Citizens to claim the victory in Lisbon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.69%) and 2-3 (5.38%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawManchester City
33.35%20.08%46.57%
Both teams to score 75.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.03%21.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.15%40.85%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.9%15.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.35%43.65%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.35%10.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.49%34.5%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 33.35%
    Manchester City 46.57%
    Draw 20.08%
Sporting LisbonDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 6.44%
3-2 @ 4.54%
3-1 @ 4.06%
1-0 @ 3.04%
2-0 @ 2.87%
4-2 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 1.92%
3-0 @ 1.81%
4-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 4.93%
Total : 33.35%
2-2 @ 7.21%
1-1 @ 6.81%
3-3 @ 3.39%
0-0 @ 1.61%
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 20.08%
1-2 @ 7.63%
1-3 @ 5.69%
2-3 @ 5.38%
0-2 @ 4.03%
0-1 @ 3.6%
1-4 @ 3.19%
2-4 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 3.01%
3-4 @ 1.9%
0-4 @ 1.69%
1-5 @ 1.43%
2-5 @ 1.35%
Other @ 4.66%
Total : 46.57%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Man City

Sporting Lisbon
16.1%
Draw
12.2%
Manchester City
71.7%
410
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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