Champions League

Champions League | Last 16 | 1st Leg

Feb 15, 2022 at 8pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
0 - 5
Man City

(Manchester City win 5-0 on aggregate)

Nunes (65'), Esgaio (78'), Ugarte (83')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Mahrez (7'), Silva (17', 44'), Foden (32'), Sterling (58')
Gundogan (74')

Reaction

Manchester City's Bernardo Silva celebrates scoring their fifth goal before it is disallowed by VAR on February 15, 2022

Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola: 'Bernardo Silva is the perfect player'

Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola describes Bernardo Silva as "the perfect player" after his performance during Tuesday's 5-0 victory over Sporting Lisbon.

Feb 16, 12:20

Pep Guardiola: 'Some players underperformed' despite 5-0 win at Sporting Lisbon

Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola believes some of his players 'underperformed' in their 5-0 Champions League last-16 win away against Sporting Lisbon on Tuesday night.

Feb 15, 23:00

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.69%) and 2-3 (5.38%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Manchester City
33.35%	20.08%	46.57%

Both teams to score 75.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.03%

21.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

59.15%

40.85%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.9%

15.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.35%

43.65%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.35%

10.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.49%

34.5%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 33.35%

Manchester City 46.57%

Draw 20.08%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 6.44% 3-2 @ 4.54% 3-1 @ 4.06% 1-0 @ 3.04% 2-0 @ 2.87% 4-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.92% 3-0 @ 1.81% 4-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 4.93% Total : 33.35%	2-2 @ 7.21% 1-1 @ 6.81% 3-3 @ 3.39% 0-0 @ 1.61% Other @ 1.07% Total : 20.08%	1-2 @ 7.63% 1-3 @ 5.69% 2-3 @ 5.38% 0-2 @ 4.03% 0-1 @ 3.6% 1-4 @ 3.19% 2-4 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 3.01% 3-4 @ 1.9% 0-4 @ 1.69% 1-5 @ 1.43% 2-5 @ 1.35% Other @ 4.66% Total : 46.57%