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Crystal Palace logo
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Mar 1, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Selhurst Park
Stoke logo

Crystal Palace
2 - 1
Stoke

Kouyate (53'), Riedewald (82')
Schlupp (84'), Gallagher (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tymon (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Crystal Palace and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Crystal Palace 2-1 Stoke City

Stoke are more than capable of beating Palace, and we are expecting a close match at Selhurst Park. The Eagles will have a lot of quality in their XI even if Vieira makes a number of changes, though, and we are finding it difficult to back against the home side when it comes to progressing to the final eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crystal Palace in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Crystal Palace.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawStoke City
47.81%24.87%27.31%
Both teams to score 54.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.52%48.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.39%70.6%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68%20.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.3%52.69%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.1%31.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.65%68.35%
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 47.8%
    Stoke City 27.31%
    Draw 24.87%
Crystal PalaceDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 5%
3-0 @ 4.37%
3-2 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.74%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 47.8%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.48%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 7.41%
1-2 @ 6.74%
0-2 @ 4.23%
1-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 27.31%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Stoke

Crystal Palace
78.8%
Draw
13.9%
Stoke City
7.3%
137
Head to Head
May 5, 2018 12.30pm
Stoke
1-2
Crystal Palace
Shaqiri (43')
Bauer (63'), Johnson (64'), Ndiaye (81'), Pieters (85'), Shaqiri (89')
McArthur (68'), Van Aanholt (86')
Milivojevic (54'), Tomkins (64')
Nov 25, 2017 3pm
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Sep 18, 2016 2.15pm
May 7, 2016 3pm
Crystal Palace
2-1
Stoke
Gayle (47', 68')
McArthur (33'), Souare (91')
Adam (27')
Whelan (3'), Pieters (21'), Ireland (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City158342721627
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Fulham166642422224
10Brentford157263128323
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton153661421-715
16Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1512121131-205


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