Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Leicester City |
| 37.3% | 26.03% | 36.67% |
| Both teams to score 54.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.68% | 50.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.74% | 72.26% |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% | 26.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.64% | 61.36% |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.39% | 26.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.15% | 61.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.3% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 9.25% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 6.12% 1-3 @ 3.61% 0-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.18% Total : 36.67% |