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Europa League

AEK Athens
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 29, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
Leicester logo

AEK Athens
1 - 2
Leicester

Tankovic (49')
Mantalos (21'), Krsticic (59'), Insua (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Vardy (18' pen.), Choudhury (39')
Thomas (78')

The Match

Match Report

The Foxes remain joint top of Group G in the Europa League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League fixture between AEK Athens and Leicester City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
AEK AthensDrawLeicester City
32.95%27.08%39.97%
Both teams to score 50.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.95%55.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.69%76.31%
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76%31.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.42%67.58%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03%26.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.69%62.31%
Score Analysis
    AEK Athens 32.95%
    Leicester City 39.97%
    Draw 27.08%
AEK AthensDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 9.8%
2-1 @ 7.47%
2-0 @ 5.7%
3-1 @ 2.9%
3-0 @ 2.21%
3-2 @ 1.9%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.95%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.42%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 11.04%
1-2 @ 8.42%
0-2 @ 7.23%
1-3 @ 3.68%
0-3 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.21%
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 39.97%