Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 6

Oct 25, 2020 at 7.15pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
0 - 1
Leicester

Bellerin (30'), Lacazette (57'), Xhaka (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vardy (80')
Fuchs (32'), Tielemans (41'), Fofana (52'), Maddison (67'), Evans (74')

Reaction

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta pictured on September 19, 2020

Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta: 'Leicester's gameplan was a sign of respect'

The Foxes sat back before striking late in last week's 1-0 win.

Oct 31, 14:22

Leicester midfielder Youri Tielemans pictured on October 25, 2020

Youri Tielemans talks up importance of Leicester win at Arsenal

The Foxes secured a 1-0 victory at the Emirates Stadium as Jamie Vardy came off the bench to once again prove the scourge of Arsenal.

Oct 26, 12:35

Leicester City manager Brendan Rodgers pictured on July 1, 2020

Brendan Rodgers lavishes praise on "world-class" Jamie Vardy

The striker scored as Leicester ended a 47-year wait for an away victory over the Gunners.

Oct 25, 22:50

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Leicester City in this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Leicester City
28.87%	25.33%	45.81%

Both teams to score 53.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.54%

49.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.5%

71.5%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.75%

31.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.4%

67.6%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.4%

21.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.3%

54.7%

Score Analysis

Arsenal 28.87%

Leicester City 45.8%

Draw 25.33%

Arsenal	Draw	Leicester City
1-0 @ 7.85% 2-1 @ 7% 2-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.08% 3-0 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.87%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.75% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-2 @ 7.93% 1-3 @ 4.71% 0-3 @ 4.05% 2-3 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 1.81% 0-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.8%