Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 6

Oct 23, 2020 at 8pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
0 - 3
Leeds

Mings (53'), Grealish (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bamford (55', 67', 74')
Struijk (10'), Klich (90+1')

Reaction

Leeds United manager Marcelo Bielsa pictured on September 19, 2020

Marcelo Bielsa praises "homogeneous" Leeds squad following Aston Villa win

The Argentinian feels his players are a formidable unit as they have spent so long gelling.

Oct 24, 15:11

Patrick Bamford celebrates with teammates after scoring for Leeds United against Aston Villa in the Premier League on October 23, 2020

Marcelo Bielsa: 'Patrick Bamford deserves all the plaudits'

Patrick Bamford became only the second player to score in each of Leeds's opening three away games in a top-flight season, after Gordon Hodgson in 1937-38.

Oct 23, 22:58

The Match

Match Report

Patrick Bamford is on six goals for the season after Leeds inflicted Villa's first Premier League loss.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday night's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Leeds United
26.15%	24.42%	49.44%

Both teams to score 54.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.64%

47.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.42%

69.58%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.78%

32.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.29%

68.72%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.8%

19.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.12%

50.89%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 26.15%

Leeds United 49.44%

Draw 24.41%

Aston Villa	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 7.01% 2-1 @ 6.55% 2-0 @ 3.97% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.62% Total : 26.15%	1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.41%	0-1 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-2 @ 8.43% 1-3 @ 5.25% 0-3 @ 4.63% 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 2.17% 0-4 @ 1.91% 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.11% Total : 49.44%