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Premier League | Gameweek 6
Oct 23, 2020 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Leeds logo

Aston Villa
0 - 3
Leeds


Mings (53'), Grealish (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bamford (55', 67', 74')
Struijk (10'), Klich (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Patrick Bamford is on six goals for the season after Leeds inflicted Villa's first Premier League loss.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday night's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawLeeds United
26.15%24.42%49.44%
Both teams to score 54.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.64%47.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.42%69.58%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78%32.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29%68.72%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8%19.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12%50.89%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 26.15%
    Leeds United 49.44%
    Draw 24.41%
Aston VillaDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 7.01%
2-1 @ 6.55%
2-0 @ 3.97%
3-1 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 2.04%
3-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 26.15%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 6.19%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 10.21%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-2 @ 8.43%
1-3 @ 5.25%
0-3 @ 4.63%
2-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 2.17%
0-4 @ 1.91%
2-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 49.44%

Head to Head
Apr 28, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 45
Leeds
1-1
Aston Villa
Klich (72')
Hernandez (14'), Cooper (21'), Klich (63'), Bamford (75')
Adomah (77')
Hourihane (75'), McGinn (80')
El Ghazi (75')
Dec 23, 2018 1.30pm
Gameweek 23
Aston Villa
2-3
Leeds
Abraham (5'), Hourihane (17')
Bolasie (7'), McGinn (81')
Clarke (56'), Jansson (61'), Roofe (90')
Klich (69'), Alioski (87'), Roofe (90')
Apr 13, 2018 7.45pm
Dec 1, 2017 7.45pm
Leeds
1-1
Aston Villa
Jansson (19')
Jansson (73'), Saiz (76')
Lansbury (70')
Hourihane (27'), Snodgrass (45'), Hutton (90')
Dec 29, 2016 7.45pm
Aston Villa
1-1
Leeds
Kodjia (85' pen.)
Bacuna (86'), Gestede (86'), Chester (92')
Jansson (54')
Bridcutt (59'), Cooper (85'), Jansson (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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