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EFL Cup

Bristol City
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 24, 2020 at 7pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Bristol City
0 - 3
Aston Villa

FT(HT: 0-2)
El Ghazi (11'), Traore (14'), Watkins (73')

The Match

Match Report

The former Chelsea forward struck after 14 minutes of his first appearance for Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's EFL Cup third-round tie between Bristol City and Aston Villa, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawAston Villa
39.84%25.33%34.83%
Both teams to score 56.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.63%47.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.41%69.59%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.45%23.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.4%57.6%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.71%26.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.59%61.41%
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 39.84%
    Aston Villa 34.83%
    Draw 25.33%
Bristol CityDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 8.95%
2-1 @ 8.65%
2-0 @ 6.47%
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-0 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.84%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.19%
2-2 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.27%
1-2 @ 7.99%
0-2 @ 5.52%
1-3 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.46%
1-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 34.83%