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Premier League | Gameweek 38
Jul 26, 2020 at 4pm UK
London Stadium
Aston Villa logo

West Ham
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Yarmolenko (85')
Antonio (23'), Fredericks (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Grealish (84')
Samatta (41')

The Match

Match Report

A four-match unbeaten run to finish the season saw Villa keep their head above water as Bournemouth and Watford were relegated.

Team News

Bowen was forced off at Old Trafford on Wednesday.

Preview

Sports Mole previews the final-day Premier League showdown between West Ham and relegation-threatened Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawAston Villa
44.11%25.69%30.2%
Both teams to score 53.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.71%50.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.76%72.24%
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27%22.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.6%56.4%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29%30.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.03%66.97%
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 44.11%
    Aston Villa 30.2%
    Draw 25.68%
West Ham UnitedDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.04%
2-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 44.11%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.98%
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.24%
1-2 @ 7.21%
0-2 @ 4.86%
1-3 @ 2.84%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 30.2%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2019 8pm
Jul 25, 2018 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Aston Villa
1-3
West Ham
Green (86')
Antonio (10'), Arnautovic (27'), Snodgrass (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Bournemouth22107536261037
7Aston Villa2210663334-136
8Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
9Fulham228953430433
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2113171347-346


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