Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 63.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 13.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.27%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.