Champions League

Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 27, 2022 at 8pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
2 - 0
Villarreal

(Liverpool win 5-2 on aggregate)

Estupinan (53' og.), Mane (55')
van Dijk (32')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Estupinan (47'), Lo Celso (62')

Reaction

Unai Emery in charge of Villarreal in April 2022

Unai Emery: 'Liverpool will suffer in Villarreal'

Villarreal boss Unai Emery warns Liverpool to expect a "very different" Champions League semi-final second leg after a 2-0 loss at Anfield.

Apr 27, 21:43

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

Last Six:

Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League

Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City	38	73	93
2	Liverpool	38	68	92
3	Chelsea	38	43	74

Villarreal

Last Six:

Last Game: Barcelona 0-2 Villarreal
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Real Sociedad	38	3	62
7	Villarreal	38	26	59
8	Athletic Bilbao	38	7	55

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 63.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 13.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.27%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Villarreal
63.41%	23.45%	13.14%

Both teams to score 37.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.26%

59.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.96%

80.04%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.42%

18.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.15%

49.85%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.77%

54.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.59%

87.41%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 63.4%

Villarreal 13.14%

Draw 23.44%

Liverpool	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 16.95% 2-0 @ 14.27% 2-1 @ 8.73% 3-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 4.9% 4-0 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 1.5% 5-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.48% Total : 63.4%	1-1 @ 10.37% 0-0 @ 10.07% 2-2 @ 2.67% Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.44%	0-1 @ 6.17% 1-2 @ 3.18% 0-2 @ 1.89% Other @ 1.91% Total : 13.14%