| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
| 19 | Levante | 38 | -25 | 35 |
| 20 | Alaves | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 52.64%. A win for Levante had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Levante win was 1-0 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Levante | Draw | Villarreal |
| 23.89% | 23.47% | 52.64% |
| Both teams to score 55.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.74% | 45.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.4% | 67.6% |
| Levante Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% | 32.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.45% | 69.55% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.83% | 17.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.57% | 47.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Levante | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 6.28% 2-1 @ 6.14% 2-0 @ 3.49% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.42% Total : 23.89% | 1-1 @ 11.06% 0-0 @ 5.66% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.46% | 0-1 @ 9.98% 1-2 @ 9.75% 0-2 @ 8.79% 1-3 @ 5.73% 0-3 @ 5.16% 2-3 @ 3.18% 1-4 @ 2.52% 0-4 @ 2.27% 2-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.87% Total : 52.64% |