Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Villarreal |
| 17.03% | 20.68% | 62.29% |
| Both teams to score 53.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.8% | 42.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.39% | 64.6% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.87% | 38.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.11% | 74.89% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.01% | 12.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.5% | 39.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 4.77% 2-1 @ 4.7% 2-0 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.54% 3-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.21% Total : 17.03% | 1-1 @ 9.75% 0-0 @ 4.95% 2-2 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.68% | 0-2 @ 10.31% 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-3 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 6.77% 0-4 @ 3.58% 1-4 @ 3.45% 2-3 @ 3.26% 2-4 @ 1.67% 0-5 @ 1.46% 1-5 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.29% Total : 62.27% |