La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

Apr 19, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio El Madrigal

Villarreal
2 - 0
Valencia

Danjuma (10' pen., 17')
Trigueros (75'), Aurier (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Comert (9'), Maranhao (40'), Moriba (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

Last Six:

Last Game: Barcelona 0-2 Villarreal
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Real Sociedad	38	3	62
7	Villarreal	38	26	59
8	Athletic Bilbao	38	7	55

Valencia

Last Six:

Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, May 21 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Athletic Bilbao	38	7	55
9	Valencia	38	-5	48
10	Osasuna	38	-14	47

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Valencia
58.59%	23.01%	18.4%

Both teams to score 49.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.04%

49.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.05%

71.95%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.25%

16.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.33%

46.67%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.87%

41.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.33%

77.67%

Score Analysis

Villarreal 58.58%

Valencia 18.4%

Draw 23%

Villarreal	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 12.3% 2-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 6.55% 3-1 @ 5.82% 4-0 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.05% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.91% Total : 58.58%	1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.85% Total : 23%	0-1 @ 6.12% 1-2 @ 4.86% 0-2 @ 2.72% 1-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.98% Total : 18.4%