| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Osasuna |
| 46.34% | 26.37% | 27.28% |
| Both teams to score 49.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.49% | 54.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.13% | 75.87% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.51% | 23.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.48% | 57.52% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.87% | 35.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.12% | 71.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% 2-1 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 8.66% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.34% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 8.25% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 8.63% 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.08% Total : 27.28% |