| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Betis | Draw | Osasuna |
| 53.05% | 24.75% | 22.2% |
| Both teams to score 49.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.76% | 52.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.05% | 73.95% |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% | 19.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.36% | 51.64% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.61% | 38.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.86% | 75.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Betis | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 12.27% 2-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 5.41% 3-1 @ 5.18% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-0 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.83% Total : 53.04% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.23% 1-2 @ 5.63% 0-2 @ 3.46% 1-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.53% Total : 22.2% |