Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.