| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 2 | 46 |
| 11 | Valencia | 37 | -7 | 45 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Elche | 37 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Granada | 37 | -17 | 37 |
| 17 | Cadiz | 37 | -17 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Granada had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Granada |
| 48.08% | 25.61% | 26.31% |
| Both teams to score 51.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.83% | 52.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.12% | 73.88% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.29% | 21.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.13% | 54.87% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.34% | 34.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.61% | 71.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 9.3% 2-0 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-0 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.32% Total : 48.07% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 7.97% 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 4.22% 1-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.15% Total : 26.31% |