| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
| 19 | Levante | 38 | -25 | 35 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Granada had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Granada |
| 44.92% | 27.07% | 28.01% |
| Both teams to score 48.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.28% | 56.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.33% | 77.67% |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% | 25.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.14% | 59.86% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.27% | 35.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.5% | 72.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 12.4% 2-1 @ 8.81% 2-0 @ 8.56% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.31% Total : 44.92% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.98% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 9.25% 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 1.99% Total : 28.01% |