Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Granada had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.