| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
| 19 | Levante | 38 | -25 | 35 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 70.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Granada had a probability of 11.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Granada |
| 70.38% | 17.8% | 11.82% |
| Both teams to score 49.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.55% | 40.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.17% | 62.83% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.7% | 10.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.29% | 33.71% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.58% | 44.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.53% | 80.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Granada |
| 2-0 @ 11.82% 1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 7.27% 4-0 @ 5.09% 4-1 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 2.95% 5-0 @ 2.31% 5-1 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 4.31% Total : 70.37% | 1-1 @ 8.44% 0-0 @ 4.58% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.9% Total : 17.8% | 0-1 @ 3.71% 1-2 @ 3.42% 0-2 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.05% 1-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.19% Total : 11.82% |