| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
| 19 | Levante | 38 | -25 | 35 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Granada had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 33.62% | 27.98% | 38.41% |
| Both teams to score 47.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.68% | 58.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.06% | 78.95% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.55% | 32.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.02% | 68.98% |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.57% | 29.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.57% | 65.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 7.4% 2-0 @ 6.05% 3-1 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.62% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 11.68% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.4% |