| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mallorca in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 34.81% ( | 27.6% ( | 37.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.22% ( | 56.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.28% ( | 77.72% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.11% ( | 30.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.83% ( | 67.17% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.84% ( | 29.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.9% ( | 65.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 2-0 @ 6.22% ( 3-1 @ 3% ( 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 3-2 @ 1.85% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.81% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0-0 @ 9.01% ( 2-2 @ 4.72% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 11.09% ( 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0-2 @ 6.84% ( 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 1-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.59% |