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Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
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Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
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Real Betis logo
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Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estadio Teresa Rivero
Villarreal logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 5
Villarreal

Guardiola (21')
Maras (30'), Garcia (45+2'), Comesana (45+2'), Lopez (76'), Sylla (77')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Pedraza (3', 88'), Foyth (27'), Alcacer (38'), Torres (45+1')
Emery (61'), Rulli (61'), Albiol (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Villarreal

Villarreal need the points more than Rayo, but the home side's recent form must be respected, therefore this is a difficult match to call. It would not be a surprise to see a home or away victory on Thursday, but we believe that the two teams could ultimately cancel each other out in an entertaining draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawVillarreal
33.85% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 27.39% (0.034000000000002 0.03) 38.76% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Both teams to score 49.47% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.92% (-0.113 -0.11)56.08% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)77.16% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)31.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)67.49% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-0.107 -0.11)28.14% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (-0.139 -0.14)63.82% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 33.85%
    Villarreal 38.75%
    Draw 27.38%
Rayo VallecanoDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.56% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.96% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 33.85%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.77% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.75%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal

Rayo Vallecano
21.2%
Draw
23.5%
Villarreal
55.3%
132
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2021 1pm
Villarreal
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Mandi (32'), Moreno (36' pen.)
Torres (23')

Catena (37'), Isi (38'), Garcia (61')
Jan 29, 2020 6pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-2
Villarreal

Milic (28')
Nino (84'), Cazorla (85')
Funes Mori (25'), Cazorla (80')
Mar 17, 2019 5.30pm
Nov 11, 2018 5.30pm
Apr 17, 2016 5.15pm
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Villarreal
Guerra (7'), Miku (81')
Guerra (56'), Amaya (67')
Adrian (20')
Ruiz (57'), Marin (59'), Gaspar (71'), Leiva (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal157532725226
7Osasuna176742225-325
8Real Sociedad167361611524
9GironaGirona176472325-222
10Sevilla176471823-522
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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