| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Sevilla |
| 46.33% ( | 25.71% ( | 27.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.47% ( | 51.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.67% ( | 73.33% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.78% ( | 22.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.35% ( | 55.65% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.99% ( | 33.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.4% ( | 69.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 2-0 @ 8.3% 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.22% Total : 46.33% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 27.96% |